House prices edge higher in October, says Nationwide as market remains 'resilient' in face of Budget tax hikes

House prices edge higher in October, says Nationwide as market remains 'resilient' in face of Budget tax hikes
By: dailymail Posted On: October 31, 2025 View: 52

  • House prices up 2.4% year-on-year in spite of Budget tax rumours 

House prices edged higher this month, according to the latest figures from Nationwide Building Society.

The typical home went up in value by 0.3 per cent or just £231, rising from £271,995 to £272,226 between September and October.

Compared to this time last year, house prices are 2.4 per cent higher, according to the mutual.

It follows on from Wednesday's Bank of England data that showed the number of mortgages approved in September rose by 1.5 per cent.

Property market experts now say house prices and mortgage activity are proving resilient despite rumours of property tax changes in the Budget on 26 November. 

The Chancellor is reportedly mulling over a new 'mansion tax' which would see owners of £2million-plus homes paying 1 per cent on anything over that amount each year. 

Edging higher: October saw a slight rise in the rate of annual house price growth to 2.4%, from 2.2% in September

There is also rumour she might replace stamp duty with a new annual property tax on homes worth more than £500,000 or a capital gains tax which kicks in when homes worth £1.5million or more are sold, as well as an additional tax raid on landlords. 

'If the housing market is one thing, it is resilient,' said Anthony Codling, head of European housing for investment bank, RBC Capital Markets. 

'House prices are at close to all-time highs but mortgage rates more than double where they were before Covid, and the prospect of further rate cuts will underpin house prices.'

Many would-be movers are waiting to see what happens next, though, according to Babek Ismayil, chief executive of home buying platform OneDome.

He says some people are waiting to see if property taxes change, while others are waiting for further interest rate cuts.

Goldman Sachs has recently predicted that the Bank of England will cut interest rates when it meets next week.  

'What we’re really seeing is a market in pause mode,' says Ismayil. 'There’s resilience, certainly, but not momentum. 

'The stability in house prices and transaction volumes shows that demand hasn’t collapsed, yet neither side - buyers or sellers - is feeling particularly bold. 

'The optimism that might normally accompany a period of wage growth and falling inflation is being tempered by lingering economic anxiety.'

Could house prices push on after the Budget?

Once the budget is behind us, there are some in the property industry that think house prices could start to kick on. 

Nationwide’s data shows that as average wages have risen steadily over the past year, meaning by that metric at least homes have become more affordable. 

For the first time in over a decade, the price of the average home has fallen back to 5.6 times the average salary.

'This takes the ratio between prices and earnings back to the average level of the past 25 years,' said buying agent Jonathan Hopper, chief executive of Garrington Property Finders.

'People are earning more, and as wages outpace house prices and borrowing gets cheaper, more people can afford to buy.'

House price to earnings ratio: As house prices have flatlined and incomes have risen, homes are starting to look more affordable compared to people's incomes

Iain McKenzie, chief executive of The Guild of Property Professionals added: 'Looking forward, we expect growth to remain modest but consistent through the end of the year. Much will hinge on the Autumn Budget and any policy measures affecting housing or taxation. 

'While short-term caution is understandable, the medium-term picture looks increasingly positive as stability returns, and mortgage flexibility improves.'

Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide is also optimistic for house prices next year.

He added: 'Looking forward, housing affordability is likely to improve modestly if income growth continues to outpace house price growth as we expect. 

'Borrowing costs are also likely to moderate a little further if Bank Rate is lowered again in the coming quarters.

'This should support buyer demand, especially since household balance sheets are strong – indeed, in aggregate the ratio of household debt to disposable income is at its lowest for two decades.'

How to find a new mortgage

Borrowers who need a mortgage because their current fixed rate deal is ending, or they are buying a home, should explore their options as soon as possible. 

Buy-to-let landlords should also act as soon as they can. 

Quick mortgage finder links with This is Money's partner L&C

> Compare mortgage rates

> Find the right mortgage for you 

What if I need to remortgage? 

Borrowers should compare rates, speak to a mortgage broker and be prepared to act.

Homeowners can lock in to a new deal six to nine months in advance, often with no obligation to take it.

Most mortgage deals allow fees to be added to the loan and only be charged when it is taken out. This means borrowers can secure a rate without paying expensive arrangement fees.

Keep in mind that by doing this and not clearing the fee on completion, interest will be paid on the fee amount over the entire term of the loan, so this may not be the best option for everyone. 

What if I am buying a home? 

Those with home purchases agreed should also aim to secure rates as soon as possible, so they know exactly what their monthly payments will be. 

Buyers should avoid overstretching and be aware that house prices may fall, as higher mortgage rates limit people's borrowing ability and buying power.

What about buy-to-let landlords?

Buy-to-let landlords with interest-only mortgages will see a greater jump in monthly costs than homeowners on residential mortgages.

This makes remortgaging in plenty of time essential and our partner L&C can help with buy-to-let mortgages too. 

How to compare mortgage costs 

The best way to compare mortgage costs and find the right deal for you is to speak to a broker.

This is Money has a long-standing partnership with fee-free broker L&C, to provide you with fee-free expert mortgage advice.

Interested in seeing today’s best mortgage rates? Use This is Money and L&Cs best mortgage rates calculator to show deals matching your home value, mortgage size, term and fixed rate needs.

If you’re ready to find your next mortgage, why not use L&C’s online Mortgage Finder. It will search 1,000’s of deals from more than 90 different lenders to discover the best deal for you.

> Find your best mortgage deal with This is Money and L&C

Be aware that rates can change quickly, however, and so if you need a mortgage or want to compare rates, speak to L&C as soon as possible, so they can help you find the right mortgage for you. 

Mortgage service provided by London & Country Mortgages (L&C), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (registered number: 143002). The FCA does not regulate most Buy to Let mortgages. Your home or property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage 

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