Antarctica has lost 8 TIMES the size of Greater London in ice over the last 30 years, study reveals

Antarctica has lost 8 TIMES the size of Greater London in ice over the last 30 years, study reveals
By: dailymail Posted On: March 02, 2026 View: 40

Antarctica has lost an area of ice more than eight times larger than Greater London over the last 30 years, a study has revealed.

Using satellite data collected over the last three decades, scientists have painstakingly mapped the frozen continent's shrinking borders.

The researchers measured the 'grounding line migration' – the change in location at which the continental ice shelf meets the open ocean.

This revealed that the continent's ice loss is far more concentrated than scientists had previously thought.

Surprisingly, much of Antarctica's ice sheet has actually remained fairly stable over the last three decades, with 77 per cent showing no grounding line migration since 1996.

However, extremely rapid loss was concentrated in Western Antarctica, the Arctic Peninsula, and some parts of East Antarctica.

This has resulted in a loss of nearly 5,000 square miles (12,820 square km) of grounded ice – a loss of 170 square miles (442 square km) every year on average.

Lead author Professor Eric Rignot, of the University of California, Irvine, says: 'It's like the balloon that's not punctured everywhere, but where it is punctured, it's punctured deep.'

Antarctica has lost an area of ice more than eight times larger than Greater London over the last 30 years, a study has revealed. Pictured: A map of Antarctica's ice retreat from 1992 (black) to 2025 (yellow), with red circles showing the area of ice lost in each region

Professor Rignot and his co–authors compiled data from satellites operated by space agencies all around the world, including NASA and the European Space Agency.

For the first time, this reveals exactly how Antarctica's grounding line has responded to warming ocean temperatures.

'We've known it's critically important for 30 years, but this is the first time we've mapped it comprehensively across all of Antarctica over such a long time span,' says Professor Rignot.

The most dramatic changes have been seen in West Antarctica's Amundsen Sea and Getz regions, where glaciers have retreated by six to 25 miles (10–40 km).

Since 1996, the Pine Island Glacier retreated by 20.5 miles (33 km) and the Smith Glacier by a staggering 26 miles (42 km).

Meanwhile, the Thwaites Glacier, also known as the 'Doomsday Glacier', has moved back 16 miles (26 km).

This is problematic because the melting of glaciers adds fresh water to the oceans that would have otherwise been trapped on land, contributing to sea level increases.

A recent paper estimated that the loss of ice on the Antarctic Peninsula could contribute up to 22 millimetres to sea level increases by 2100 and up to 172 millimetres by 2300

Using satellite data collected over the last 30 years, scientists have mapped the change in Antarctica's 'grounding line' - the point where the continental ice meets the sea (pictured). This shows that ice loss has been concentrated in Western Antarctica
There was significantly less ice loss in East Antarctica (pictured). The satellite data showed that 77 per cent of the coast had no change in grounding line since 1996, with ice loss highly concentrated in a few areas

Previous studies have estimated that the collapse of the Thwaites Glacier could cause global sea levels to rise by a whopping 2.1ft (65cm).

Likewise, the Pine Island Glacier, which currently makes up 25 per cent of ice loss from Antarctica, could cause global sea levels to rise by 1.6 feet (0.5 metres).

The researchers believe that these areas are seeing more dramatic changes because they are the most exposed to the impacts of global warming.

Professor Rignot says: 'Where warm ocean water is pushed by winds to reach glaciers, that's where we see the big wounds in Antarctica.'

What is harder to explain is why the satellite data also shows significant ice loss at multiple points in the Northeast of the Antarctic Peninsula.

'A lot of these places have warm ocean water in proximity, but on the east coast of the peninsula, there's substantial retreat, and we don't have evidence for warm water,' says Professor Rignot.

'Something else is acting – it's still a question mark.'

In this area, several major ice shelves had already collapsed prior to 1996, while many glaciers have shown rapid retreats in the last 30 years.

This satellite images shows the Pine Island Glacier in 2015. In the last 30 years, it has retreated 20.5 miles (33 km)
This image shows the Pine Island Glacier as it was in 2020. This glacier is the fastest changing body of ice in Antarctica
Satellite images have shown that the Pine Island Glacier (pictured), which is responsible for 25 per cent of ice loss in Antarctica, is cracking and breaking up at an extremely fast rate

These include the Hektoria glacier that lost 13 miles (21 km), the Green Glacier losing 10 miles (16 km), and the Evans Glacier, which lost 5.6 miles (9 km).

However, despite these alarming changes, the researchers caution that the situation could be much worse.

Professor Rignot concludes: 'The flip side is that we should perhaps feel fortunate that all of Antarctica isn't reacting right now, because we would be in far more trouble.

'But that could be the next step.'

SEA LEVELS COULD RISE BY UP TO 4 FEET BY THE YEAR 2300

Global sea levels could rise as much as 1.2 metres (4 feet) by 2300 even if we meet the 2015 Paris climate goals, scientists have warned.

The long-term change will be driven by a thaw of ice from Greenland to Antarctica that is set to re-draw global coastlines.

Sea level rise threatens cities from Shanghai to London, to low-lying swathes of Florida or Bangladesh, and to entire nations such as the Maldives.

It is vital that we curb emissions as soon as possible to avoid an even greater rise, a German-led team of researchers said in a new report.

By 2300, the report projected that sea levels would gain by 0.7-1.2 metres, even if almost 200 nations fully meet goals under the 2015 Paris Agreement.

Targets set by the accords include cutting greenhouse gas emissions to net zero in the second half of this century.

Ocean levels will rise inexorably because heat-trapping industrial gases already emitted will linger in the atmosphere, melting more ice, it said.

In addition, water naturally expands as it warms above four degrees Celsius (39.2°F).

Every five years of delay beyond 2020 in peaking global emissions would mean an extra 8 inches (20 centimetres) of sea level rise by 2300.

'Sea level is often communicated as a really slow process that you can't do much about ... but the next 30 years really matter,' said lead author Dr Matthias Mengel, of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, in Potsdam, Germany.

None of the nearly 200 governments to sign the Paris Accords are on track to meet its pledges.

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