10-year Treasury yield dips as investors assess interest rate outlook for 2026

10-year Treasury yield dips as investors assess interest rate outlook for 2026
By: cnbc Posted On: December 29, 2025 View: 28

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was slightly lower on Monday as investors returned from the Christmas holiday.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped 2 basis points to 4.112% at 3:33 a.m. ET, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was last seen little changed at 3.477%.

Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point equals 0.01%.


The moves come as traders digest the latest economic data and assess the Federal Reserve's monetary rate path.

The Labor Department reported on Wednesday initial jobless claims of 214,000 for the week ending Dec. 20. This was below expectations and a 10,000 decrease from the prior week.

Separately, the Commerce Department reported on Tuesday that the U.S. economy grew by 4.3% in the first quarter — the country's fastest pace of expansion in two years.

There are no further economic data releases scheduled on Monday.

Jacob Pedersen, head of equity research at Sydbank, said he anticipated at least one interest rate cut from the Fed next year.

"That is probably not as much as investors are expecting right now," Pedersen told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Monday.

"We'll, of course, have a lot of tension regarding Fed independence moving further into 2026. The financial markets need an independent Fed and I think that will be quite visible depending on how things pan out," he added.

— CNBC's Sean Conlon & Fred Imbert contributed to this report.

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